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CRUDE OIL: BULLS ARE WAITTING AT LOWER LEVELS

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Oct 16 2020

It appears that crude oil prices stabilized after that sharp drop at the start of September. Then energy was able to recover close to $42 but move is not that strong, rather slower and choppier; very undecided direction due to increase of corona-virus cases and potential second lock-down. However, I don’t think we will see the repeat of a March and April decline, since I doubt we will see the same hard 2nd lockdown, especially not in the US under Trump administration. But fear remains in eyes of investors so new dip may not be surprise before real price stabilization occurs.

From an Elliott Wave perspective, I see nice ongoing corrective drop from $44 area that will ideally unfold as an A-B-C correction. In zigzag you will typically see price retracement back to the area of a former wave four, which in our case was near $34.64. The next support I would keep an eye is around $30.00, which is psychological level that comes in around 38.2% Fib. retracement compared to previous five wave rise. Regarding timing for this wave 2)/B), it may finish as we approach the year end.

If I am on the right track then I think there can be nice opportunity on the long side in 2021, after that dip. But if it goes straight up from here, then it’s better to wait and see if bulls are going to be early, or is something else going on for a complex wave 2)/B).

 
   

If you are trading more actively FX rather than crude oil, then you may pay attention to USDCAD weakness once crude oil completes that set-back from $44.00. Ideally, USDCAD will then break down from a fourth wave consolidation, which can be either a flat or a triangle.
 

Trump vs Biden - Who Will Win? -Elliott Wave Applied

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Oct 15 2020

Hey traders,

Elliott wave theory tracks sentiment that moves from optimism to pessimism. These are cycles that occur everywhere in our life not only in the markets. Therefore, the Elliott Wave theory is a tool that can be applied even to politics. I will look at the Elliott Wave cycles on the US Presidential elections, and are wondering if we can see a surprise here or shift in trend.

Take care,

GH

For more info check the video below:
   

Crude Oil Is Ready To Jump After A Correction

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Oct 05 2020

Hello traders,

Crude oil moved sharply down during the coronavirus lockdown back in March, but energy quickly turned bullish again after economic stimulus packages across the globe. Energy rallied in five waves and completed a five-wave recovery from April lows, so current reversal in three waves is part of a corrective move in wave 2)/B).

Currently we are tracking sub-wave C lower, which can reach 34.6/30.7 area, where former swing lows, and Fib. Ratio of 38.2 can react as support. If we get a much deeper correction, then next support can be at 26.5/23.6 zone, where Fib. Ratio of 50.0 and 61.8 sit.
This deep retracement would be possible if second global coronavirus lockdown would repeat, but even then we think that sooner or later energy will find support as oil companies are now prepared much better than before, and doubt they would pump as much as they did back in March.

For more info check the video below:

 
     
 
  

Silver Making A corrective Retracement – Elliott Wave Analysis

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Oct 05 2020

Hello traders,

Silver is turning bullish after unlimited QE and inflation fears. The USD is down heavily, interest rates are low so investors have hard time to find real investment, so they are looking at precious metals; demand increased which makes price higher.
Technically speaking, we see a turn up from March. It looks like an impulse, so more upside is expected within a new bullish cycle. As such, current price activity from the 29.81 high can be part of a correction within an uptrend. We are tracking two counts: count #1 indicates price to be at the end of a corrective wave 4 of a bigger uptrend, which can look for support at the Fib. Ratio of 50.0 (around 22.0 level) and turn higher. Count #2 is also bullish, however here we see already a bigger correction underway labelled as wave B)/2), which can face same support around the 22.0 level. That said, a bullish impulsive move, and above the 27.57 level will be a sign for further upside.

Silver, daily (count #1)


Silver, daily (count #2)


 

Monero XMRUSD Is Approaching 2019 Highs-Resistance?

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Oct 01 2020

Traders, monero is making a very strong bounce for the last few days, but keep in mind that we can be in a fifth wave here, so do just be careful and be aware of a potential slow down once wave five makes five subwaves up from Sep low.

Also to check our previous article on Monero click HERE

Monero XMRUSD Is Approaching 2019 Highs-Resistance? by ew-forecast on TradingView.com


If you want to learn more about technical patterns and the Elliott Wave Theory, then check our EW school or our services.


Is Risk-on Back? AUDJPY vs Stocks

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Sep 30 2020

Stocks are turning up with five waves, and AUDJPY follows it very nicely as USDJPY also still looking strong. Is Risk-on back?

Check video below for my recent view.

Love what you see? Get full access to our members section for 50% OFF!

 


Elliott Wave VIDEO: AUDUSD Flashback

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Sep 29 2020

Hello traders!

Aussie came lower in the last few weeks in risk-off sentiment. If you are our member then you know we have been looking for this move based on a lot of different factors; intermarket analysis, basic technical analysis and the Elliott Wave theory. In the video below I will walk you through the process of approach to this AUDUSD analysis.



If you want to learn more about technical patterns and the Elliott Wave Theory, then check our EW school, or our services.


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