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Russia-US Tensions Plus Tehchnicals Can Cause Lower Stocks

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Apr 11 2018

Hi everyone!

10 year US note bounced from the lows in the last two weeks while stocks accelerated to the downside, ideally within wave C which may not be over yet based on recent developments which suggests that ounce from start of April is corrective. In fact, here is also a slow price structure at the moment on 10 year, above 120'10 that looks like a wave (B) of an ongoing 3-leg recovery up to 122'00. If that is correct then stocks may see more downside, into 2500 area on S&P500 where wave C would be equal to wave A in distance. Also tensions between US and Russia are definitely not supportive for stocks either.


10 Year US Notes vs S&P500, 2h




(Video) EURCAD On My watchlist

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Apr 09 2018

Hi everyone!

On Friday I posted a new video analysis, talked about EUR vs CAD based on recent developments on EURUSD, USDCAD, and Crude Oil. I came out with a conclusion that bounce can be seen on EURCAD which can be even impulsive so it can take us much higher in days ahead.

Enjoy the video.
GH
 


EURUSD Is Trapped In Consolidation

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Apr 04 2018

On EURUSD we see slow price action for the last two months, a complex pattern which we think it's a corrective one as part of one uptrend.The reason are three legs in first wave down to 1.2155 and then up into March high. We labeled those as waves a) and b) that can belong to a triangle formation. Of-course there are different counts possible at this stage but we think contracting formation can be the best pick, especially if pair breaks above 1.2347 swing as we would then look for a move to the upper side of a range.. If from any reason price will continue towards 1.2155 then flat is also a valid option.






SP500 Cycle Analysis Since 1929

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Mar 22 2018

Good day traders!
In the last week or so I have been watching and tracking some long-term charts of a stock market, since I think we really have to look back sometimes and be aware of a higher degree pattern and trend, rather than remained trapped in short-term cycles. With that said, I picked up the historical chart of S&P500 and found some interesting price and time developments that can come all together and maybe play an important role in the next 3 or 4 years.

What I am looking at below is a line chart data of S&P500 since 1929 (you can find them at http://www.macrotrends.net/). What will you notice is that there are ups and downs right? After each correction there is a breakout and after each impulse there is a correction which makes a healthy market. So if you are a long-term investors, you really think its worth to take a risk here if we consider that there can be a 30% pullback based on past swing readings? Remember market needs to breath so I personally think it may slow down in upcoming years. But based on 39 year cycle that you can see on the chart, there is a time projection for 2021, while percentage of current advance compared to past cycles (circled % on the chart) suggests that market can be now in 50% longer bullish time period compare to recent 9 year correction. With that math I came out with important year of 2022.

But that’s not all. There is also a five wave rise up since 1949, when market completed a triangle consolidation. And what we know is that after each five waves market slows down, which can be 3 or 4 years from now based on cycle analysis. With that said, there is still a few years left for more upside which once again makes perfect sense since we see current pullbacks from February highs as a corrective movement on several major global indices.

We covered plenty of them in our latest members video analysis. If you want to see our long-term charts on different global indices (SP500, NASDAQ100, DJIA, DAX, EU50, CAC40, NIKKEI, ASX200, HSI) then sign up and watch video today in which I also explain this cycle analysis in detail. SIGN UP HERE

Trade well,
Grega



(VIDEO) BITCOIN Is Showing A Bullish Set-up

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Mar 16 2018

Traders, welcome back to our latest video analysis regarding BTCUSD!

As we know, BTCUSD made a higher degree three-wave pullback away from 11824 February highs, which can now be coming to an end. Specifically we see price little by little picking up from around 7600, and also in minor five waves, which could already be an indicator for more upside. Check the video for a closer look and better understanding!

(VIDEO) BITCOIN Is Showing A Bullish Set-up by ew-forecast on TradingView.com




CryptoCurrency Technical Report, Issue 12

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Mar 08 2018

We highlighted and warned about deeper pullback on BTCUSD and friends and it's happening since this Monday. When everyone turned up for 15k with stick to wave structure which now shows that wave C can be moving down into every interesting 8k-9k area.

Enjoy the new free update ;)
GH

CryptoCurrency EW report Issue 12 - CLICK HERE



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Coverage:
Btc/Usd (Bitcoin)
Eth/Usd (Ethereum)
Ltc/Usd (Litecoin)
Dsh/Usd (Dash)
Xrp/Usd (Ripple)
Bch/Usd (Bitcoin Cash) 

10 Year US Notes Looking For A Low

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Mar 06 2018

10 year US notes can be trading at the end of a higher degree wave III. Specifically we see price unfolding an overlapping price movement within sub-wave 5 of three, that looks more and more like a EW ending diagonal. The speciality of this pattern is that it can cause a sharp a strong turn into the opposite direction, in our case into corrective wave IV, which could see limited upside near the 121.09 level, at the starting point of the pattern.

Possible support zone is seen at 119'20, where red waves 1 and 5 would become equal. That said, divergence on the RSI also suggest a potential turning point.

10Year US Notes, 4H


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