SP500 Cycle Analysis Since 1929
Mar 22 2018
Good day traders!
In the last week or so I have been watching and tracking some long-term charts of a stock market, since I think we really have to look back sometimes and be aware of a higher degree pattern and trend, rather than remained trapped in short-term cycles. With that said, I picked up the historical chart of S&P500 and found some interesting price and time developments that can come all together and maybe play an important role in the next 3 or 4 years.
What I am looking at below is a line chart data of S&P500 since 1929 (you can find them at http://www.macrotrends.net/). What will you notice is that there are ups and downs right? After each correction there is a breakout and after each impulse there is a correction which makes a healthy market. So if you are a long-term investors, you really think its worth to take a risk here if we consider that there can be a 30% pullback based on past swing readings? Remember market needs to breath so I personally think it may slow down in upcoming years. But based on 39 year cycle that you can see on the chart, there is a time projection for 2021, while percentage of current advance compared to past cycles (circled % on the chart) suggests that market can be now in 50% longer bullish time period compare to recent 9 year correction. With that math I came out with important year of 2022.
But that’s not all. There is also a five wave rise up since 1949, when market completed a triangle consolidation. And what we know is that after each five waves market slows down, which can be 3 or 4 years from now based on cycle analysis. With that said, there is still a few years left for more upside which once again makes perfect sense since we see current pullbacks from February highs as a corrective movement on several major global indices.
We covered plenty of them in our latest members video analysis. If you want to see our long-term charts on different global indices (SP500, NASDAQ100, DJIA, DAX, EU50, CAC40, NIKKEI, ASX200, HSI) then sign up and watch video today in which I also explain this cycle analysis in detail. SIGN UP HERE
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