It’s Too Soon To Buy Gold - Elliott Wave Chart
Jan 27 2021
After recent strong and impulsive rally on gold, we can see it slowing down now since August 2020 high, but with slow and overlapping price action, so we think it's a corrective wave structure, seen as higher degree wave IV correction. Wave IV can be sometimes very complex, so at this stage we are observing two counts especially since the USD is trying to recover which may have bearish impact on metals as well.
In the first and primary chart below, we are tracking a bigger bullish triangle correction in wave IV), but only if the price stays slow and sideways until we see an A-B-C-D-E subwaves. This is possible if metal will keep chopping around between around 1850-1900. If not, and if bears will be in charge for the next few weeks with a potential retest of 1765 then secondary count comes in play, where we may see deeper and more complex 7-swing A-B-C-X-A-B-C correction. In such case 1700 can be very important level to watch for a next bounce.
So for now, gold remains very tricky, but what I like about the whole price action down from August highs is that in either case it's corrective, we just need more time now before we can decide what type of the patter wave four is forming., But eventually, price will be higher later this year.
If you are looking at gold in EUR, then you should also be aware of potential weakness as price can be breaking bearish flag.
XAUUSD 1 AND 2
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