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EURUSD: Ending Diagonal Could Cause A Turning Point At the Start of 2014


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Dec 30 2013

EURUSD has extended gains in the last few weeks back above 1.3800 and now also to 1.3900 where market may complete a huge ending diagonal pattern. The ending diagonal is a reversal pattern which means that EURUSD could fall sharply in start of 2014.

On the 4h chart we can see a recent spike to 1.3900 which made move from 1.3290 more extended and complex. Notice that we labeled rally in wave 5) as a double zigzag because of the overlapping price action. Keep in mind that we are tracking an ending diagonal on a daily chart as mentioned about where each leg has a corrective structure. So if our count is correct then bearish turning point could be near especially if we consider a 150 pip pullback from latest high. We suspect that pair will continue lower, but we would love to see broken channel support line as well as wave B swing low to confirm a change in trend. We can also see a bearish divergence on the MACD that is calling for a turning point.

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