EURUSD: Ending Diagonal Could Cause A Turning Point At the Start of 2014
Dec 30 2013
EURUSD has extended gains in the last few weeks back above 1.3800 and now also to 1.3900 where market may complete a huge ending diagonal pattern. The ending diagonal is a reversal pattern which means that EURUSD could fall sharply in start of 2014.
On the 4h chart we can see a recent spike to 1.3900 which made move from 1.3290 more extended and complex. Notice that we labeled rally in wave 5) as a double zigzag because of the overlapping price action. Keep in mind that we are tracking an ending diagonal on a daily chart as mentioned about where each leg has a corrective structure. So if our count is correct then bearish turning point could be near especially if we consider a 150 pip pullback from latest high. We suspect that pair will continue lower, but we would love to see broken channel support line as well as wave B swing low to confirm a change in trend. We can also see a bearish divergence on the MACD that is calling for a turning point.
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